Could Geno Smith have another Brady Quinn like wait?

Geno Smith is an interesting prospect to say the least, according to analyst and insiders everywhere Geno Smith is the consensus #1 quarterback in the draft. That's not saying much because this is a particularly weak QB draft. Geno has good footwork and a very strong arm; on occasion he misses open receivers, struggles throwing the ball in tight windows, and has problems when he\is first option isn't there. He also has not fared well when playing in cold weather. These are not qualities you want to see when handing over the keys to your franchise to a QB. For these reasons sum NFL coaches and owners don't see him as the starting QB of their franchise for years to come. Some don't even see him as the best QB in the draft (myself included) they think Matt Barkley, the USC standout is. This is a similar scenario to what happened to Brady Quinn, he was the consensus #1 QB coming out of Notre Dame,  was an all-american, and was rumored to possibly be a top 5 pick. When Quinn's name wasn't called by Oakland and Cleveland, team after team that needed a QB passed him up. Quinn didn't hear his name called until pick 22 when the Browns who passed on him at #3 moved back into the first round to select him. If it wasn't for that he might have fallen out of the first round. This is a problem Geno could face if he doesn't go in the top 9 picks. If you look at it all the teams have a QB already that is just as good or better than Smith. KC just got Alex Smith, and Chase Daniels so he isn't going there. Jacksonville could be a fit, but they just recently drafted Blaine Gabbert, and have many more pressing needs. Oakland recently acquired Matt Flynn in a trade with Seattle. Philadelphia is a possibility,  but they will either go for an offensive linemen, or to the defensive side of the ball. Detroit has Matt Stafford in place for the next decade. Cleveland is a possibility but they drafted Brandon Weeden in the 1st round last year so that is not happening. Arizona recently acquired Carson Palmer from the Raiders so they won't be looking for a QB, at least this year. The Bills could be a possibility but they also signed Kevin Kolb in the off season after he was released by the Cardinals. The last team that would even think about Geno is the Jets, and they won't think about that to long because they have so much money tied up in Mark Sanchez. So if that is the case could we not see a QB drafted in the 1st round? The last time a QB was't taken in the 1st round was 1996, so Thursday night we will see if we need to update that to 2013.